[SMM Survey Daily Briefing] October 17, 2025

Published: Oct 17, 2025 16:52
[SMM Coal and Coke Daily Briefing] News-wise, mainstream coke enterprises have initiated a second round of coke price hikes, scheduled to take effect at 00:00 on October 20. Supply side, coke producers' profits have narrowed further recently, production pressure has increased, and coupled with the impact of environmental protection inspections on some enterprises, there have been certain production cuts. Currently, coke producers are shipping smoothly and maintaining low inventory levels overall. Demand side, hot metal output remains at a relatively high level, and some steel mills still have restocking demand for coke. However, with finished product profits declining and inventory accumulating, most steel mills are purchasing as needed. In summary, current market expectations are diverging, with coke and steel enterprises in a game-playing phase, and coke prices may remain stable for the time being.

[SMM Daily Coal & Coke Briefing]
Coking Coal Market:
Linfen low-sulphur coking coal offered at 1,540 yuan/mt. Tangshan low-sulphur coking coal offered at 1,490 yuan/mt.
Raw material fundamentals: most mines operate normally, a few are shut down; some downstream coke and steel enterprises have rigid restocking needs and have begun moderate restocking; mainstream mines’ online auctions see low failure rates, with more gains than losses; market sentiment has improved, and mines’ reluctance to budge on prices has strengthened; next week coking coal prices are expected to be generally stable with slight rise.
Coke Market:
First-grade metallurgical coke—dry quenched nationwide average price 1,790 yuan/mt. Quasi-first-grade metallurgical coke—dry quenched nationwide average price 1,650 yuan/mt. First-grade metallurgical coke—wet quenched nationwide average price 1,440 yuan/mt. Quasi-first-grade metallurgical coke—wet quenched nationwide average price 1,350 yuan/mt.
News: mainstream coke producers launched the second round of price increases, scheduled to take effect at 00:00 on 20 Oct. Supply side: recent further narrowing of coke producers’ margins increases production pressure; some producers affected by environmental protection inspections have made production cuts; current shipments are smooth and overall inventories remain low. Demand side: hot metal output stays at high levels, some steel mills still need to restock coke, but falling finished-steel margins and rising inventories mean most mills purchase as needed. Overall, market expectations are diverging, coke and steel mills are in a standoff, and coke prices are likely to remain stable for now. [SMM Steel]

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[SMM Survey Daily Briefing] October 17, 2025 - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)